A free tool from TheHousingModel

The 4-Path Quick Verdict

Six numbers. Four strategies. The wealth leader, ranked.

Updates as you type · no email required to see results

Your inputs

Defaults reflect a high-income household in a high-cost market. Replace with your own numbers.

Advanced assumptions
Enter your numbers to see the verdict…

Simplified estimate. We assume ~50% of pre-tax income is available for housing + investments (the rest goes to taxes and non-housing living costs), 3%/yr rent growth, 2.3%/yr owner carrying cost. The full model uses your real take-home pay, paystub calibration, and your household specifics.

⚖️ What this free version can't tell you

Wealth ≠ Survivability

The free verdict above tells you who wins on wealth. The actual question — which path your household can survive without going house-poor — needs more than six numbers. The full model runs six cash-stress diagnostics, paystub-calibrated tax math, and tells you when the wealth leader is the wrong recommendation. Often it is.

🟢 / 🟡 / 🔴 Survivability verdict per pathUnlock with full model
House-poor years (housing > 35% of income)Unlock with full model
Stressed years · avg severity · peak %Unlock with full model
Brokerage drawdown years (cash safety valve)Unlock with full model
🔥 FI Crossover Age (when can you stop working?)Unlock with full model
🏠 MaxHomePrice ceiling (honest affordable cap)Unlock with full model
🎯 Sensitivity Bench (14 named pressure tests)Unlock with full model
Unlock with the full model →
The free version tells you which path wins on wealth. The paid model tells you whether your household can survive it.

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